EuroMOMO Bulletin, Week 47, 2021
This week’s overall pooled EuroMOMO estimates of all-cause mortality for the participating European countries show an elevated level of excess mortality. This falls in line with the continued excess mortality at low level in the European pooled estimates over the past few months, affecting all age groups from 15 years and above. In particular, Ukraine is currently experiencing a very substantial excess mortality and has reported high numbers of COVID-19 related deaths.
Data from 26 European countries or subnational regions were included in this week’s pooled analysis of all-cause mortality.
As EuroMOMO collects routine data on all-cause mortality only, but no information on specific causes of death, nor any data on other factors that may be associated with observed mortality signals, EuroMOMO’s outputs do not allow specific conclusions about underlying causes of changing mortality levels per se. Never the less, in the current context of COVID-19, mortality patterns can be expected to fluctuate as a consequence of changing COVID-19 transmission levels and the various preventive measures that have been installed and lifted intermittently in the participating countries during the course of 2020 and 2021.
National data representing all of Germany are part of the pooled EuroMOMO analysis. Data from the subnational regions of Berlin and Hesse are also provided and will be shown separately with their z-scores graphs, in addition to national-level data from Germany, but they are not included in the pooled analysis.
National data representing Ukraine are provided weekly to EuroMOMO, however, only data for all ages, but not for the standard age groups presented by EuroMOMO. Therefore, data from Ukraine cannot be included in the European pooled analysis, but will be shown with their z-score graph for all ages. Work is ongoing to provide the weekly data by age group as well.
Note on interpretation of data: The number of deaths shown for the three most recent weeks should be interpreted with caution, as adjustments for delayed registrations may be imprecise. Furthermore, results of pooled analyses may vary depending on countries included in the weekly analyses. Pooled analyses are adjusted for variation between the included countries and for differences in the local delay in reporting
During the current COVID-19 pandemic, information on its mortality impact is of major concern. The EuroMOMO network hub receives many questions about the weekly mortality data we present, as well as requests to share the underlying national data. While the network fully supports data sharing, the network hub is not mandated by the participating countries to release any national data. If you are interested in accessing national data, please approach countries individually.
The EuroMOMO network welcomes collaboration with external partners, e.g. about additional analyses and modelling to be performed. If you are interested in engaging with the network about any such collaboration, please forward your ideas to the hub, for wider sharing and dialogue with the network.
Kindly note that any use of data or information originating from the EuroMOMO website must be appropriately quoted and acknowledged.